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Lothran

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  1. They lost my 9.0 ASM 300 so.... it could be worse.
  2. I was told by a CGC rep that he signed books on January 17th. Not sure if there are still unsigned books and a third signing is going to happen, but that's what was relayed to me.
  3. Hello, I had a few comics sent to CGC for the McFarlane signing. (order 4169862) The item on line 3, an ASM 300, was sent in as a slabbed blue label. (4054660002) Up until the last day or so, I was still able to pull up the slab number on the website. Now it does not pull anything up. Again, this only happened in the last day or two. The comics I submitted were signed and graded and were about to be shipped out when I noticed that the ASM 300 now has a B-1 classification for restoration. No one can explain how that happened or any details other than "someone will call you". Someone was supposed to call me last Thursday (1/26/23), but I haven't heard from anyone. I believe CGC mixed up my comic with someone else's as there is no way a blue label slabbed comic will come back with a restoration designation, which will significantly lower the value of the comic. Can anyone provide any updates or insight on what is going on please?
  4. I don't think anyone is arguing that it wasn't. However, I don't believe this is a one off event that "You will never see that again in your lifetime". There are a number of different factors that lead me to believe this is part of the cycle and 2021 was breaking resistance. The main factor that leads me to believe this will repeat is the market valuation with a CAGR of around 10%, based on 2012 to current valuations, which would put the US comic market at around $2,774,000,00-ish in 2024 from the current valuation of approximately, 2,286,000,000. (approximate as 2022 numbers have not been released yet) (Feel free to check the math and correct me if I made any miscalculations) Now, that's just anticipated market growth without factoring in any outside factors, such as HBO developing a continuous DC Universe across it's movies/tv series/animated series, Disney or Sony developing their movies, games, series or any actions taken by the Fed to mitigate inflation and a recession, such as QE or rate hikes. Obviously, this is pure speculation based on current numbers and it's impossible to predict an upturn or downturn, however this is a stronger case for repeat cycles than a one off spike with no data other than "muh 30 years". (comic market is wildly different than 30, 20 or even 10 years ago... 2012 market valuation was 805,000,000) So, I'll do me and base my investing on the data I believe is pertinent and others can do themselves and base their strategies on past experiences.
  5. No, no they don't. There is no such thing as 'knowing' what the market is going to do. Not to mention outside market factors that have a direct influence on the comic market. You do you and keep selling. I'll do me and keep buying. Cheers
  6. With the stagflation that is happening and the current energy market, the Fed is trying to balance their response with quantitative easing and interest rate hikes. I believe this will lead to a rebound once winter passes, around April-June. (due to the war in Ukraine, sanctions and oil price caps, this winter is going to be rough around the world) However, the amount of debit that people are holding is going to have a severe impact on the economy, which is why I think a 2024 crash is likely, or at least a significant recession. In 2020 alone, the global debt rose by 28% points.(https://www.imf.org/en/Blogs/Articles/2021/12/15/blog-global-debt-reaches-a-record-226-trillion) There is a lot more, but that is getting into more of the technicals and this is a very basic overview.
  7. We'll see if this holds true, but I don't agree with the assessment. A lot of people are speculating that the comic market has passed it's prime, but I believe it's just getting started and we are in a consolidation phase. I think the market will rebound around Q2-Q3, but will crash again in 2024.
  8. #48 is completely wrong and I will buy every silver dollar for $2 that anyone has to sell.
  9. It's a gamble either way. No one knows exactly what is going to happen, but markets are cyclical. I have a pretty diverse investment strategy and by no means am I putting everything into comics. However, if I can get a 10-15% return in a year-ish then that's a better return in a typical market. I think my DCA plan is going to do pretty well. I'm not picking up any fly-by-night keys hoping they turn into something profitable later on, I'm only buying issues that are and will be in demand. (with the exception of one specific comic I am speculating on) For example, I believe I'll be in a good position from picking up beautiful raw copies of X-Men 266s for under $100 when the market turns.
  10. I disagree. Falling prices are great for those that plan on reselling when the market flips. I have been slowly grabbing deals on popular keys that I can resell later. I have no issue hodling for a year+ for a nice return. I plan on DCA buying all the way down.
  11. If you send something in for pressing, of course you expect the grade to change. I was referring to sending something in for signing and coming back lower. It seems there is a bit of variation in grading and to me, it would be nice if they stood behind their previous grades if they are the only ones that accessed the comic.
  12. Ouch, that's a rough one. It's weird that they are the only ones to touch a comic when it's slabbed and the only ones to touch it re-slabbing, yet won't keep the original grade. I wish CGC would stand behind their product.