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byosti

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Posts posted by byosti

  1. On 1/25/2023 at 11:44 PM, DC# said:

     

    I was really bored recently and decided to go way, way back in this thread - all the way back to 2015 or so - just to see what conversations have been like over the past decade.    Funny how the conversations have not really changed that much - where prices are, speculation, predictions, impact of marvel chipping, validity of various auction houses, etc etc etc.    

    One thing that caught my eye was a chart from April 2017 that broke down how many Universal graded copies were in the census.    In April 2017 it stood at 1,653 copies - in January 2023 we are at 2,403 - a 45% increase.    So in the first 17 years of the census they graded 1,653 and have done 750 in the past six years.   That is an average of just under 100/year in the first 17 years to around 125/year these past six.

    The 2017 chart doesn't have actual numbers by grade but I eyeballed them to create a comparison by grade.    The most growth was in grades 2.5 and under (50-70% increases) but all grades under 6.0 grew by over 30%.   Even 8 and 8.5 grew around 30%.   

    Again - I had to guess the 2017 numbers but this gives a directional sense of how many books have been added by grade.

     

    445907667_ScreenShot2023-01-25at8_42_57PM.thumb.png.d833e5ecc10167d55417eba2260ae0c1.png

     

    when studying census numbers like this, how many or what % do you think is resubs/presses/resto removal etc that do not include original label and then would be doubly counted? same with cgc to cbcs or cbcs to cgc skewing 

  2. On 1/17/2023 at 9:24 PM, DC# said:

    My eye is so trained to skip everything after the standard universal grade number.....I inaccurately assumed that "signed by" in GPA meant it was a yellow label.   Learn something new everyday.   

    odd. guess it's something in their coding or algorithm. 

  3. I feel like there's a few 5.5s missing on here. There was a few months where a few 5.5s were going for mid 50s

     

    On 1/13/2023 at 5:18 PM, DC# said:

    Here is an update to my AF15 tracker (note I have been tracking sales that don't show up in GPA as well like Clink).    The rate of decline looks like it is slowing down / flattening for these grades.     I added 5.5 to the chart capture the sentiment in the last post.    All these grades are down 40-50% from their first 2022 sale (which is also the historical peak sale for 5.5, 3.0 and 2.5 )  except for 3.5.    Even throwing out the last $36k sale for a 3.5 it is only down 30%.    

    That one $100k sale of a 5.0 in June still stands out as odd - it's messing up my chart :)    But it is still sitting in the GPA data (June 29th)

     

    1682819605_ScreenShot2023-01-13at2_04_40PM.thumb.png.4f7bbaddbc615a8bf52149e4069227b2.png

     

  4. After the initial typical intro, "if i know the party's extension you may dial it at anytime to leave a message, otherwise please listen to the following options:

    employee directory press 1 to hear menu again press 2." If I press 2 it will repeat the that over again. What if people do not know the extension or employee directory? The current options are pretty thin given that message.