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musicmeta

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Posts posted by musicmeta

  1. I collect old science fiction movies. Stuff like "The Time Travelers", "Earth vs the Flying Saucers" and of course "Forbidden Planet". Bought the "Day the Earth Stood Still" when it came out, but that is really a good movie.

    The only other items I collect are monthly bills, which can stop finding me anytime.

     

     

  2. Of course, a collectibles market doesn't dry up, as the true collectors remain no matter what. The point is always the relative demand and pricing, not the fact that people are still buying.

     

    In the sportscard biz, collectors are still buying their PSA cards, but the fact remains that there are lots of PSA 10's that are selling for 1-10% of their previous high value.

     

    I think comic books will be a viable hobby for many in the future, but the investment angle has been dwindling out, and I really don't see prices staying where they are. The Perfect Storm is coming to an end, and while I will maintain my collection and continue buying (where they ain't), I see no logical reason to buy an uber-expensive book now, rather than waiting for the inevitable a few years down the line

     

    You bring up excellent points in all your threads and postings. The problem is that the "uber-expensive book now" will be even more expensive in the future, but finding THOSE particular books that will hold their value is the key. I just do not believe that all of the expensive books of today will drop to the ground. Some will drop, some will stay about the same and some will shoot past the moon. I've heard about market crashes for years and years and years. I remember when I first started collecting back in the 70's, several people told me that the comics market is going to drop like a rock because values were rising to rapidly. Get out now while you can. It did not happen to a large extent. I believe there are only one or two years where the price guides showed a small drop in value for some major keys(ASM #1?). So I guess, prices are probably due for some sort of downturn soon, but I also believe the prices will bounce back and continue on up.

     

  3. Oh I agree, that's the danger of using past trends to project future ones. Do you really think stamp, coin, or sportscard collectors didn't think this same way? At a certain point in time, prices spike, demographics fade, and then it's time to send everyone home.

     

    I do agree that certain GA comics like Det 27 and Action 1 have achieved a "historic importance" and have moved to the nex tier, but otherwise it's tough to see any factors for increased demand in the future.

     

    Yes, the demographics fade, but again I believe that a new demographics will take their place, not a 1 for 1 ratio, but some will take their place. Comics will probaly see-saw(Certain comics that were once red hot are now ice cold and what was ice-cold is now getting warm). That's what I see happening in general.

    I think most of the comics of the late 80's -early 90's will have a harder time to rise in value due to all that speculation that went on. The real values are the some of the comics printed today with those really low print runs. Just a small increase in demand could send some these to lofty levels(again, not now but 10-15 years from now). I think the Silver age/Bronze age books as a whole will continue to show increases year to year with maybe only a year or two of stagnant growth.

    I don't know about the Golden age market, but I truly believe that this market will still continue to grow in value. I guess time will tell.

    I don't think that the comic market will be all that bad nor do I believe it just keep rising to the moon either. Somewhere in the middle is where the market is going to be. I still see folks buying coins and sportscards, so even though those markets have had their problems, the markets are still going onward.

     

     

  4. VM, I'm talking about "real-world" prices, and not those "dealer buy at 30%" values that Bob adjusts by 10% each and every year.

     

    You're talking about something I refer to as "Price Guide Fantasy" where you look back at 1986 and really believe you could have bought a NM ASM 14 for the price listed. 27_laughing.gif

     

    So yeah, in 10 years, Bob may still be instituting his 10% annual price increases, but will collectors be paying them for raw comics?

     

    I believe that prices will always rise on the very hard to find "in high grade" books like Action 1, Detective Comics 27, Showcase #4..etc There will always be a demand for these books.

    For the rest, I still believe that a modest rise in prices will continue. While the market buyers are "graying", there will always be some to take their place.

    I've always heard things like "What! XXX for that book! You've got to be kidding me!",. Ten years later, we would all jump at the chance to buy the book that cheap again.

    Some books will take a nose dive, just because their prices were soley based on speculation(a movie, TV, etc) and not on the art and/or storyline.

    I believe some books that look worthless today will become the high dollar books tomorrow( 15 years+), due probably to very low print runs.

    All in all the comic book market will continue to survive and flourish albeit at a slower pace.

    Anyway that's what I think.

     

  5. I've just now started collecting old scienc fiction "B" movies on VHS or DVD(if you can find them).

    I just bought "The Time Travellers"-VHS, "The Day the Earth Stood Still-DVD(Not a "B" movie though, "Earth vs the Flying Saucers"-VHS).

    I hope to buying several more like "X the man with X-ray eyes..etc..)