valiantman

Scarlet Witch, I think? I guess, but she keeps getting stopped, so she must not have the power to hold the probability.

I don't remember who posted it, but "the power to manipulate probability" is the single greatest superpower, and not only would kids thinks it's lame, adults do, too. But think about it... if you had the ability to manipulate probability, you could make things than have a 0% chance of happening turn into 100%. Do you want to go in a store and find no other customers but yourself? Odds are very low of that happening, but wait, no, the probability just went to 100%. Do you want to sleep all night without getting up to go pee pee (as someone said earlier)... odds just went to 100%. Don't forget the classic superpowers... what are the odds you can fly? Well, it's now 100%. What would be the odds of dying from multiple gunshots? Pretty high, right? Nope, it just went to 0%. What are the odds you could do anything you want and not be seen, even by video cameras? Well, that's 100%, too. The power to manipulate probability is the single greatest superpower and both kids and adults would think it (sounds) lame. What are the odds you read this whole post? I'm going to go ahead and set that one at 20%.

The last CGC 9.9 for ASM #300 was graded in the first week of July 2013. http://www.cgcdata.com/cgc/search/comicid/273

Sorry it wasn't a 9.9, but the "unlimited tier" is for any book worth at least $1,000, so it could have been a 9.6 and still been bumped to unlimited. https://www.cgccomics.com/submit/services-fees/cgc-grading/

If the item is purchased through Ebay, the buyer is protected from scams. There's no way a scammer (who wasn't the seller) would know you're the buyer. It could be a shill because the seller wanted you to pay your max price, but it's not from someone who is uninvolved in the auction.

At the 15:10 timestamp: "Here's a good one, here's a good one... remember this one? I told everyone to go out and buy, thought it was going to be the next big thing. Turned out to be a massive dud." ... and that summarizes pretty much every YouTube expert on investing in brand new comics.

I definitely don't have time to do anything like that

When they were reported (about 20 years between 1995 and 2015), North American first month direct orders were known. How I would use it is for knowing the "bare minimum" number of copies of something that should exist. See a book from 2010 that has 40,000 units on Comichron, know that at least 40,000 exist... probably more for non-North American orders, possibly more for second month orders, etc. If someone online says "RARE" and you see 40,000 on Comichron... not rare.

Is Penguin and Lunar reporting to Comichron now? Nope. https://comichron.com/faq/directmarketsalesdata.html If Comichron.com doesn't have it, then it's probably not possible to get it.

Are you talking about how many sold when they were new? If so... comichron.com Are you talking about CGC sales? If so... gpanalysis.com

@RockMyAmadeus is an expert on this book as well, I don't know if he has notes to add.

I think it's more interesting than an identical copy signed by the artist without the quote, but I think it would be more valuable if the signature and quote were written by the actor.

Those issues were very popular, so a lot of newsstands were printed. I didn't see any high grade in my area at the time, but there are likely to be many high grade copies in the world simply because they're from the right period of time.

This is one of the reasons I created CGCEMC.com I believe that "overall demand" is a total dollar amount which we can estimate. Demand = Supply times Price If a "key" book has "overall demand" for slabbed copies around $5,000,000 total, and there are 500 copies graded, then the average price is around $10,000 each. If another 100 copies suddenly hit the market, the price would drop (plummet!) quite a bit for a while, but the overall demand was $5,000,000 before, and is probably still $5,000,000 after the market settles. The supply goes from 500 to 600, to the average price probably settles around $8,333. However, the average grade might increase if the 100 new books were nice warehouse copies, so that $8,333 average would be for a higher average CGC grade than the $10,000 average in the past... and that $10,000 book before the warehouse find might become $6,000 or so. Regardless, a book which the "overall demand" was $5,000,000 total is likely to still have $5,000,000 total in demand after a warehouse find. The individual prices fall, but the demand isn't falling. In fact, if more people can "play" at a lower price, then the overall demand could even increase even while individual prices fall.

Part of a set of 8... https://www.ebay.com/itm/394309472685

I just went to this page, copied the top couple hundred books into Excel and sorted by the CGC 9.8 column. http://www.cgcdata.com/cgc/cgctop/

It's probably Spider-man 1 (Silver Edition); almost 11K. X-Men 1 is close, but the census doesn't differentiate between the 4 connecting covers. Spawn #1 is highest on CGC 9.8 population, but Spider-Man #1 Silver is near the top (third). Book and CGC Census Population CGC 9.8 (all counts in this list are CGC 9.8 only) Spawn 1 (1992, Image Comics) 15,442 in CGC 9.8 (all counts in this list are CGC 9.8 only) Venom: Lethal Protector 1 (1993, Marvel Comics) 11,180 Spider-Man 1 Silver Edition (1990, Marvel Comics) 10,723 X-Men 1 (1991, Marvel Comics) 10,553 Spider-Man 1 (1990, Marvel Comics) 8,093 Amazing Spider-Man 4 (2014, Marvel Comics) 7,092 Amazing Spider-Man 361 (1992, Marvel Comics) 6,730 Marvel Super Heroes Secret Wars 8 (1984, Marvel Comics) 6,587 X-Men 4 (1992, Marvel Comics) 5,528 Venom 3 (2018, Marvel Comics) 5,512 Amazing Spider-Man 362 (1992, Marvel Comics) 5,106 Wolverine Limited Series 1 (1982, Marvel Comics) 4,965 Spider-Man 7 Ramos Variant Cover (2023, Marvel Comics) 4,876 New Mutants 98 (1991, Marvel Comics) 4,845 Batman: The Killing Joke nn (1988, D.C. Comics) 4,728 X-Men 1 Special Collectors Edition (1991, Marvel Comics) 4,619 Ultimate Fallout 4 (2011, Marvel Comics) 4,586 Darth Vader 3 (2015, Marvel Comics) 4,461 War of the Realms: New Agents of Atlas 1 (2019, Marvel Comics) 4,229 Uncanny X-Men 266 (1990, Marvel Comics) 4,227 TMNT: The Last Ronin 1 (2020, IDW Publishing) 4,143 (plus 400+ CGC 9.9 and CGC 10) Something is Killing the Children 1 Eighth Printing (2021, Boom! Studios) 4,103 Amazing Spider-Man 55 (2021, Marvel Comics) 4,042

Just curious whether the 50-75 years is measured from the start of the era or from the start of widespread collecting? For example, U.S. coin and stamp collecting were big in the middle of the 20th century, but the items had already been around for 150+ years. So, if the 50-75 year estimate starts with the beginning of widespread collecting, comics would be about 1963 starting as widespread collectible, and we're in roughly year 60.

CGC 9.9 and 10 are almost "common" when it comes to later 1980s books that are squarebound with a cardstock cover (like Killing Joke) or a special type of "thicker" cover like Venom Lethal Protector #1 or chromium from the 1990s, and CGC 9.9s are basically "very common" when it comes to those special thicker and chromium covers after the 1990s. Any book with 10,000+ submissions since 1990 is also likely to have several 9.9s and 10s, but they aren't a high percentage of that book's submissions. Some books since 2000 are so common in 9.9 (or higher), it's not even worth having them CGC graded at 9.8 or lower. (Batman: Damned #1, for example) Otherwise, regular "floppy" paper covers (since 1980 and before about 2005) don't result in CGC 9.9 or CGC 10 much more than 1-in-300 submissions for NM or higher... and it's probably close to 1-out-of-100 CGC 9.8s which every submitter out of 100 probably hoped they would get a 9.9... and 99 of them were wrong about 9.9 (but they did get a 9.8).

What might have been...

Probably a case where the submitter decided it must be the variant (because why wouldn't they try to claim it's the rare version), and the data entry (quality assurance) person didn't know the difference.

April 1939, probably about the same timeframe as Action Comics #11... perhaps a "BL" note for the colorist was interpreted as "blond" instead of "black" on Superman's hair.

I'll even call them out: https://www.ebay.com/str/smrcollectibles

Won an auction, paid immediately. To my surprise, I won a second auction from the same seller within 10 minutes. I sent a immediate message requesting combined shipping on the two auctions won within ten minutes of each other. Combined shipping was stated in both auctions, with a specific amount to be paid for the second item. No response. I sent a second message the next morning, since the email sent within minutes of winning both auctions was ignored. They responded that they already shipped the first item, and it was my fault for paying immediately. I should have waited for them to invoice me for both auctions combined. Yep, my fault. I paid immediately. Imagine the nerve of an eBay buyer to pay immediately. I guess I should have apologized.

Superman #123 - nice! That book takes me back to my first job as an intern at a health insurance company. I think I had it, a Tiger Woods Sports Illustrated, and an Independence Day toy on my desk.