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JJ-4

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Everything posted by JJ-4

  1. I'm not in CA so that sounds reasonable.
  2. Interesting tool to look at COVID projections (not sure I agree with them) https://covid19.healthdata.org/united-states-of-america You can select CA in the drop down to see the peak is projected to be April 17 from a number of deaths prospective. The model spits out a huge range for some states.
  3. I agree with you. I would think of it as revenue shortfall compared to forecast. You just didn't see the sales you expected.
  4. Totally agree, and with you money you save every month by not having to rent a storage locker, more comics!
  5. Anyone read any Ken Follett? I was given Pillars of the Earth, wanted to know if it was a good read.
  6. Agee on income vs capital gains taxes. Thought this would be helpful for everyone else who is reading this.
  7. Those "kids" on spring break really screwed up. Not sure what should be done about that. That said, I agree my younger one's have been having a good time just taking it easy for a while. They usually are on the go non stop between school, homework, sports, and social obligations. Nice to just see them acting like kids (like we probably had it when we were younger) for a change.
  8. The debt is a huge problem, and not only do we not take in enough in taxes but we have a spending problem as well. That said, the more you make the more you have to pay in taxes. Full stop. There is certainly room for simplification of the tax code but saying that the rich pay less that the middle class is just not true.
  9. And if folks aren't seasoned investors you should join your companies 401K if you aren't participating and increase your contribution if you already do. Stock are on sale for the near future if you want to fill your retirement nest egg and have at least 5 to 7 years to retirement.
  10. But we've explained that it's not 4.1% due to the lack of testing. And may people have recovered from it just as folks get over the flu or the common cold. 80% of the people that get it will have no to very mild symptoms. Repeat, many people will have no symptoms and not even know they have it. Please stop the mis-information.
  11. Also, This is going to get worse before it gets better, not to alarm folks but I believe the National Guard will be deployed to help keep folks calm, prevent looting and enforce the closure of business, won't probably announced until the troops are deployed. Perhaps as soon as later today.
  12. If you are in the very high risk group you should not be around large groups of people, and bringing you elderly mother out with you is just a problematic. Could you order some food on line? Have your grocery store assemble the order for you to pick up? Have another family member do your shopping or pay a high school kid to do your shopping? I know this is very difficult and I'm certainly not in your situation but if I would you I would do ANYTHING to avoid having to go out to a crammed mall. Anyone else have suggestions for G C to keep him and his mother safe?
  13. No problem, we use one and the kids even like the taste, it's similar to what you would get from bottled water.
  14. Hard to read tone thru a text post but just the opposite, we should all be nicer to each other while we go thru this! Thanks.
  15. He didn't hit you so no harm no foul. Cut everyone some slack, many people are having a tough day worrying about their loved ones too.
  16. Or in inexpensive water filter jug you can keep in the fridge. Pick one up at Target for cheap.
  17. You are correct it does not. But it is important to know if this thing is going to impact us like a seasonal influenza or a 90% deadly ebola outbreak don't you think? Would you behavior be different if you thought you had a normal level of risk when you took a drive in your car or if it was going to be 100% fatal today?
  18. Here are some additional facts about COVID-19. Exposure (infection) for the average population will have the following results. 80% of people will have very mild to no symptoms 15% of people will have symptoms serious enough to feel ill, will likely have to practice self-care (Advil, liquids, rest) as they will not be sick enough to require hospitalization & doctor’s offices will not want them to come in and potentially spread the illness to staff and other patients 5% of people will have symptoms acute enough to have respiratory distress and will need medical care intervention (isolated in a sick ward). If 5% of the US population (16 Million people) all showed up at a hospital tomorrow the system would be completely overloaded. Thus, to lower the impact to all we need to practice social distancing. This will help keep the frail, elderly, and compromised individuals safe. Stay 5 feet away from others, wash your hands, stay out of any crowded areas, don’t go out at all if you don’t have to, spend time with your family, and read some funny books. That will dramatically reduce the spread of the virus and allow us to flatten the curve. Thanks.
  19. Yes, you should self isolation if you have symptoms, or if you are part of a high risk group. It's not practical for everyone (those that have no symptoms) to self isolation. Thus social distancing is appropriate since COVID is spread by bodily fluids, coughing, spit when you talk, touching things and then transferring to your eyes or mouth after an infected person has touched them. The appropriate response is social distancing, so people can do some of the required day to day activities, we can't all stay under the covers forever. We can get thru this without everyone freaking out. Stay calms and wash your hands.
  20. You are way off. Stats from WHO (as of 3/18/2020) 7,807 deaths of 191,187, so still 4.1%. In the US 58 deaths of 3,536 so only 1.6% morality here so far and we have an acute shortage of tests. https://www.who.int/emergencies/diseases/novel-coronavirus-2019/situation-reports
  21. I don't know where you get your numbers but the current mortality rate is 4.1% internationally using stats directly from WHO, 7,426 of 179,111 but like I said earlier the denominator is vastly understated so the actual rate is much lower. Don't get me wrong, this is a very serious issue that is affecting people around the globe but you should not freak out if you are not part of the at risk population. Practice social distancing and self quarantine if you have any symptoms.
  22. Humor can be used to deal with risk, uncertainty, loss. Not that big of deal.
  23. Completely agree, the math on COVID suggests no greater than a 4.1% morality rate but since we don't know the actual number of cases (due to limited testing) the true number is probably just a fraction of that.