Very well said...and cheers for pointing out my errors, which I will admit were due to some fairly...embaressing... intellectual laziness, on my part.
AFAIK the release dates of Magnus/Valiant books with X Force 2, I was going by memory and it is fairly immaterial wether they were released a year or 2, before or after one another.
I only brought Valiant books into this discussion as a reference point for the late 80's/early 90's comic speculator boom period.
I did not know the print run of X Force 2, only that it was ridiculously high, which I alluded to.
But ...., I will readily concede to grossly overlooking the Byrne/Legend tie in hotness angle.In all honesty, "overlooking" isn't an aptly fitting term as I had guessed on Legends being a second tier book and not having a signifigant print run.
So yeah, there's a solid point in your favor.Quite a solid point but even so, I think the likelihood of Legends 3 copies all of a sudden turning up in droves in graded 9.8 is slim to none.Even if such a box does turn up, good luck on a signifigant amount of them fetching 9.8 grades.And by the unlikely chance that a 100 or so 9.8's get churned out in a week, there will still be more Suicide Squad collectors on the market that want the book in 9.8 than the supply accounts for.
Graded copies have been selling for around $300 for months now.That said, it's not a secret that Legends 3 is a book to have graded, if you're looking to sell it and make a quick profit.We would have seen many more 9.8 copies on the census , flooding the market by now, if is a relatively easy book to find in 9.8.
I'd wager that copies left somewhere in crates, would not have survived the 27 years or so they have been in storage, without signifigant paper degradation.other than usual corner dents, spine stress, the most prevalent defect that I see with Legends 3 is dirt and coinciding light abrasion to the cover.The light blue background reveals cover dirt just about as much if the background were stark white and to make matters worse, you cannot dry clean such a background without taking off cover inks.
All that aside, we are talking about a book which contains the 1st app. of a wildly popular team with the current incarnation brimming with the likes of Harley Quinn and so on.
I believe it will be a matter of lower supply vs. higher demand.As I said earlier, a total of 5 copies of this book in CGC/CBCS 9.8 right now on eBay is a whopping 5.Now, am I suggesting that it's sound investment advice for someone to buy up those 5 copies for $1500 and sit on them for a year?
No, I am not.
I don't think it would be inherently *bad* advice though but that's besides the point....
When those 5 copies are sold at around $300 a shot to individual Suicide Squad collectors, it will be a rinse and repeat cycle.
We will have to wait and see....but as far as to making reliable predictions, I have NO intention of sharing "blue chip" comic advice with anyone.A sucker, I am not.
What I was doing was using past experiences/examples to show that history almost invariably repeats itself in this field and if insight to current market trends and character popularity is judiciously applied, we can use those past examples as a reliable gauge to forecast future outcomes of certain books.
I could go on and defend certain inaccurate facts of mine as sloppiness but , it was the day after Christmas and I I was a bit buzzed on Guinness when I wrote that first post.That still does not detract from the basis of using a supply/demand model, with the rest of the correct facts and insight provided, as more than likely indicating to serve as an accurate assessment of future trading rates.
Boo-yah.