I don't think it would have but you never know. For sure SC22 is more valuable thatn Flash 105 now and it still is ranked lower in the OSPG.
It depends. That sale was last summer, right? If yes, that would have put it smack dab in the middle of the first SC #22 run up.
Hard to say. In the same way that the laws of physics don`t work the same at the sub-atomic level, the laws of comic book pricing don`t always work the same at the six-figure level. When the Law of Multiples Extrapolation runs into the Law of Big Numbers, the Law of Big Numbers tends to win out, which helps to explain in part why the 9.6 Showcase 4 went for so cheap.
I agree, but it seems like SC #4 is in a downswing while SC #22 is on the rise. I figured that the #4 would top $200K due to its significance, but it did not. Due to the GL movie, there may be more people willing to chase SC #22 rather than SC #4. In the case of #4, if it were to come to market again now (we know that it likely will not resurface for a while), I think it would have a hard time reaching the price Mark paid for it last year. Maybe a Flash movie would change that, but right now all of the momentum is on the side of SC #22.
If that were to happen, it would be the equivalent of the time Detective 27 surpassed Action 1 for one brief shining moment in the late 1980s, thanks to the unexpected mega-success of the first Batman movie. I have no doubt that people in the long run would come to their senses and put Showcase 4 back up where it belongs.
Also, I think the 9.6 Showcase 4 sale was an aberration, so I wouldn`t read too much into it. The 9.4 copy sold for around $150K, if I remember correctly, which was about where several seasoned collectors predicted. I think the correct price for the 9.6 would be somewhere around $200K or higher, and the winning bidder might very well have been willing to go higher, but for some reason no other competing bidder emerged.
Also, SC 22`s price has been driven by speculation and the realization that it`s genuinely hard to find in any kind of decent grade--much harder than #4. If copies also existed in 9.2, 9.4 and 9.6 like #4, I don`t think the 9.0 copy would have gone for nearly as much.
Would the 9.4 SC #4 hit that price now? I doubt it with the 9.6 out there. I would say that the price paid for the 9.6 was more a sign of the current interest level in the book rather than an aberration.
The Flash is not a truly top tier DC property any longer. I look at it as the DC equivalent of FF #1 for Marvel. Start of the DC superhero SA, considered the first SA key by fanboys in the 60s and 70s (silly boomers ), but now the Flash and FF are much less important/popular characters. However, FF #1 benefits from being the 1st SA Marvel which means a much larger fan base considers it important relative to SC #4 so its high end prices likely have more staying power.