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THE AMAZING FANTASY #15 CLUB
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Started by HarveySwick,

14,484 posts in this topic

snitm

snitm

Posted
Posted
1 hour ago, piper said:

GPA must not be keeping up with the market trend. Last 3.5 sold in May (according to GPA) for 30k.

GPA doesn't track all sales (e.g. ComicConnect). A 3.5 sold recently (June 22) on ComicConnect for $44.5K.

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Pantodude

Pantodude

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Posted (edited)
6 hours ago, piper said:

GPA must not be keeping up with the market trend. Last 3.5 sold in May (according to GPA) for 30k.

Regarding Subby's $50K+ estimate for a 5.0, hasn't a 5.0 historically been about twice a 3.5 FMV?   So even that "stale" GPA sale you noted for May suggests a 5.0 would be well north of $50K.   The more recent CC sale on 6/22 suggests a valuation well beyond that, like north of $80K for a 5.0.  Anyway, even GPA gave signs that the May info was stale b/c GPA shows a 2.0 sold this month for $26.4K.     

Edited by Pantodude
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Roger66

Roger66

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AF15 goes through cycles - when it is burning hot :devil: there are a rash of high sales - some that seem almost insane 6 months ago - a la that chewed up 1.0 for 14k plus :whatthe:.  When a collector, who sadly never owned a copy of this iconic key starts feeling deep pangs that it will move further out of reach or the guy who sold his 4.0 too cheap a couple of years ago and wants a copy back - irrationality & lack of perspective takes over and the new market sample becomes skewed because emotions are very high.  In short when I see questions like "what is this 2.0 worth now in today's market?" ??? I feel like saying "it's darn worth whatever you're willing to pay for it now."  Personally if you don't have a copy and are dying for one - I suggest you wait until the market cools down.  History has a way of repeating itself and for AF15 it is only a matter of time before prices cool off somewhat and you can be a responsible buyer as opposed to one who may very well be over-paying in retrospect on a book that is on the major upward slope.  Finally.. IF you get great joy from owning a piece of history and perhaps did pay a chunk more than you wanted to - it doesn't matter - as long as you can afford it and have your financial priorities in place. :frustrated:  My lousy 2 cents. :preach:

Edited by Roger66
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peewee22

peewee22

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2 minutes ago, Roger66 said:

AF15 goes through cycles - when it is burning hot :devil: there are a rash of high sales - some that seem almost insane 6 months ago - a la that chewed up 1.0 for 14k plus :whatthe:.  When a collector, who sadly never owned a copy of this iconic key starts feeling deep pangs that it will move further out of reach or the guy who sold his 4.0 too cheap a couple of years ago and wants a copy back - irrationality & lack of perspective takes over and the new market sample becomes skewed because emotions are very high.  In short when I see questions like "what is this 2.0 worth now in today's market?" ??? I feel like saying "it's darn worth whatever you're willing to pay for it now."  Personally if you don't have a copy and are dying for one - I suggest you wait until the market cools down.  History has a way of repeating itself and for AF15 it is only a matter of time before prices cool off somewhat and you can be a responsible buyer as opposed to one who may very well be over-paying in retrospect on a book that is on the major upward slope.  My lousy 2 cents. :preach:

Collections are still unearthed out there. Copies are waiting to be held (or slabbed).

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Subby1938

Subby1938

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I personally don’t think it’s a great time to wait on this book . I agree it’s a scorching hot market for it but can’t see prices dipping too far backwards . Two years ago I had 2.0 blue label and sold it for 14K. I’m now entertaining a 1.5 blue which I posted above for 22K. I’m almost priced out tbh

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gpanalysis

gpanalysis

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8 hours ago, snitm said:

GPA doesn't track all sales (e.g. ComicConnect). A 3.5 sold recently (June 22) on ComicConnect for $44.5K.

Just to correct the record, we’ve been including ComicConnect sales in GPA for more than a decade. The data from their recent auction percolates through a week or so after the auction ends as they finalise their results.

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Glassman10

Glassman10

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17 hours ago, Pantodude said:

Regarding Subby's $50K+ estimate for a 5.0, hasn't a 5.0 historically been about twice a 3.5 FMV?   So even that "stale" GPA sale you noted for May suggests a 5.0 would be well north of $50K.   The more recent CC sale on 6/22 suggests a valuation well beyond that, like north of $80K for a 5.0.  Anyway, even GPA gave signs that the May info was stale b/c GPA shows a 2.0 sold this month for $26.4K.     

Mine sold for 50K in 2017.   A 5.0  That was the top of the market then. 

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