paperheart Posted February 27, 2020 Share Posted February 27, 2020 (edited) 21 minutes ago, kimik said: I am curious to see what happens to box office totals as COVID-19 spreads globally. won't affect this pig much as it's nearly played out, but from Deadline today: “The impact in 2020 from Corvid-19 (coronavirus) on the motion picture business cannot be overstated,” a finance source recently told us. That’s as the closure of cinemas in China alone is approaching a loss of $2B to the global box office, while the disease has now seen spikes in Korea and Italy. What looked in late January as a possibly short-term, confined issue has now taken on enormous proportions, clearly on a human scale, and also on the film industry. As movie theater attendance has slowed in several markets, compounding the losses, an estimate we’ve heard in overall ticket sales impact could be as high as $4B worldwide by the end of March. Edited February 27, 2020 by paperheart Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jaydogrules Posted February 28, 2020 Share Posted February 28, 2020 You don't get 4300 screens in north America and a worldwide wannabe tentpole release on a $50MM P&A budget. If you think that you're just being delusional. Even The Nun had a $100MM P&A budget. WB spent AT LEAST that much on this, putting its all in at or around $185MM, and yeah, as it stands now, it is a sizable money loser. Fortunately WB is playing with "found money" from Joker still, so they may not care. Though this certainly puts more pressure on Wonder woman to deliver the goods later this year. -J. paperheart 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gatsby77 Posted February 28, 2020 Share Posted February 28, 2020 (edited) 1 hour ago, paperheart said: won't affect this pig much as it's nearly played out, but from Deadline today: “The impact in 2020 from Corvid-19 (coronavirus) on the motion picture business cannot be overstated,” a finance source recently told us. That’s as the closure of cinemas in China alone is approaching a loss of $2B to the global box office, while the disease has now seen spikes in Korea and Italy. What looked in late January as a possibly short-term, confined issue has now taken on enormous proportions, clearly on a human scale, and also on the film industry. As movie theater attendance has slowed in several markets, compounding the losses, an estimate we’ve heard in overall ticket sales impact could be as high as $4B worldwide by the end of March. Japan announced yesterday that they're closing schools for a month, so I doubt most movie theaters will even be open in the short term. I lived in Tokyo for a year and worked for the Japanese government for awhile after that. Japan doesn't play. They'll lock stuff down China-style. Edited February 28, 2020 by Gatsby77 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gatsby77 Posted February 28, 2020 Share Posted February 28, 2020 $470K Thursday $74.68M Total (North America) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bosco685 Posted February 28, 2020 Author Share Posted February 28, 2020 No international updates yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paperheart Posted February 28, 2020 Share Posted February 28, 2020 (edited) 1 hour ago, Gatsby77 said: $470K Thursday $74.68M Total (North America) heading to: $85MM US, $120MM Int'l + Japan (last gasp, so WB going all out w/ marketing campaign.) Current possibilities being considered: “SEE THE JOKER not appear in this movie” “R rating – artistic integrity = PG 12 + Yen” “Harley Quinn: WORLD PREMIERE with this title” Edited February 28, 2020 by paperheart Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chaos_in_Canada Posted February 29, 2020 Share Posted February 29, 2020 55 minutes ago, paperheart said: heading to: $85MM US, $120MM Int'l + Japan (last gasp, so WB going all out w/ marketing campaign.) Current possibilities being considered: “SEE THE JOKER not appear in this movie” “R rating – artistic integrity = PG 12 + Yen” “Harley Quinn: WORLD PREMIERE with this title” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bosco685 Posted February 29, 2020 Author Share Posted February 29, 2020 12 hours ago, paperheart said: heading to: $85MM US, $120MM Int'l + Japan (last gasp, so WB going all out w/ marketing campaign.) Current possibilities being considered: “SEE THE JOKER not appear in this movie” “R rating – artistic integrity = PG 12 + Yen” “Harley Quinn: WORLD PREMIERE with this title” 11 hours ago, Chaos_in_Canada said: You two have come a long ways since prior to the 2.1X production budget days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bosco685 Posted February 29, 2020 Author Share Posted February 29, 2020 Box Office Pro estimate for this weekend is $3.4M domestic. If we go with a larger drop-off rate and make that $2.5M domestic, $3M international, that takes the film to $183.9M worldwide (2.2X production budget). Japan's March release should be delayed like Disney has done with Mulan now due to the coronavirus. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bosco685 Posted February 29, 2020 Author Share Posted February 29, 2020 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bosco685 Posted March 1, 2020 Author Share Posted March 1, 2020 On 2/29/2020 at 8:41 AM, Bosco685 said: Box Office Pro estimate for this weekend is $3.4M domestic. If we go with a larger drop-off rate and make that $2.5M domestic, $3M international, that takes the film to $183.9M worldwide (2.2X production budget). Japan's March release should be delayed like Disney has done with Mulan now due to the coronavirus. Higher than I estimated domestically. International pending. ADAMANTIUM 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bosco685 Posted March 1, 2020 Author Share Posted March 1, 2020 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paperheart Posted March 1, 2020 Share Posted March 1, 2020 lagging recent R rated CB movies by a skosh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bosco685 Posted March 1, 2020 Author Share Posted March 1, 2020 7 minutes ago, paperheart said: lagging recent R rated CB movies by a skosh It's bugging you that much? On 2/24/2020 at 7:06 AM, Bosco685 said: So the 'worse than Cats and Dark Phoenix' didn't stick because now Birds of Prey passed 2.0X production budget after an extremely low start. So what's the next move? 'Let's compare it to all recent comic book R-Rated films!' Let's see if the comparisons make sense: Films released in February? Deadpool 2/12/16 Logan 3/3/17 Deadpool 2 5/10/18 Joker 10/4/19 Female lead films on that list? 0 Female team films on that list? 0 Are there female lead or team R-Rated movies similar (or close)? Anna, Atomic Blonde, Kill Bill: Vol 1, Kill Bill: Vol 2, Lucy, Peppermint, Red Sparrow, The Kitchen, Underworld How many of those female lead or team R-Rated movies are based on comic books: Atomic Blonde (GN: The Coldest City), The Kitchen (Ollie Masters and Ming Doyle series) It would appear Atomic Blonde is the money-maker of the logical trio with that extremely low budget and Charlize Theron as the dangerous lead. BOP will never catch up to that revenue ratio figure. But congrats to @paperheart for the effort. And now... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bosco685 Posted March 1, 2020 Author Share Posted March 1, 2020 On 2/29/2020 at 8:41 AM, Bosco685 said: Box Office Pro estimate for this weekend is $3.4M domestic. If we go with a larger drop-off rate and make that $2.5M domestic, $3M international, that takes the film to $183.9M worldwide (2.2X production budget). Japan's March release should be delayed like Disney has done with Mulan now due to the coronavirus. Both domestic and international had higher estimates than assumed. Though nothing massive. Now at 2.2X production budget Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gatsby77 Posted March 1, 2020 Share Posted March 1, 2020 Raising a glass to its last $1 million day... Chaos_in_Canada 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paperheart Posted March 1, 2020 Share Posted March 1, 2020 18 minutes ago, Gatsby77 said: Raising a glass to its last $1 million day... maybe next Sat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gatsby77 Posted March 1, 2020 Share Posted March 1, 2020 (edited) 43 minutes ago, paperheart said: maybe next Sat. Doubtful. Four new wide releases, including Warner Bros. next big film - The Way Back. Plus, Disney's Onward is tracking for $44 million. Edited March 1, 2020 by Gatsby77 paperheart 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paperheart Posted March 1, 2020 Share Posted March 1, 2020 (edited) Versus recent CB box office bombs, BOP's WW total has flown past Josh Trank's malodorous Fantastic Four, next in sight, DCEU kickoff, the execrable Green Lantern, far in the distance the Razzy nominated Dark Phoenix. Edited March 1, 2020 by paperheart Gatsby77 and Chaos_in_Canada 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gatsby77 Posted March 1, 2020 Share Posted March 1, 2020 5 minutes ago, paperheart said: Versus other box office bombs, BOP's WW total has flown past Josh Trank's malodorous Fantastic Four, next in sight, DCEU kickoff, the execrable Green Lantern, far in the distance the Razzy nominated Dark Phoenix. Who'd a'thunk Shazam was more popular than Harley Quinn? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
