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MAY1979

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Everything posted by MAY1979

  1. Its just the start of correction, time will tell. As with most corrections not everything will be affected the same way and likley the way it does will not match predictions. Do remember after the last large scale bust it really took some sectors of the hobby between 1-2 decades to recover - new book sales have never recovered and never will. My guess is as the Social Media Crowd folks exit this hobby due to losses comics may become very "uncool" to them and little of that "new" money will remain. I believe it was those mostly uninformed* folks who were propping up high census pop copper/modern books. There will always be hot books and hot characters that go against a bear-ish market - consider those outliers. I know many who confuse outliers with trends, but eventually supply and demand always reigns supreme. * = the Social Media folks jumping on the bandwagon were being told things from speculators like only buy #1's , only buy 9.8's, and only buy "hot books" they were pushing.... Of course the real money to be made by speculating is purchasing quantities of 8.0's-9.4's cheap and sell them off for multiple of original cost as they ride the 9.8's coattails. This was done with ASM300, ASM361, Eternals #1, probably Star Wars 1 & 42, Avengers 196, WWBN32, and in Sports Cards think 1986/1987/1988 PSA5,6,7,8,9 Michael Jordan Fleer as prime examples.
  2. At the very, very, very start CGC did not note PQ. I've heard that was only the first couple of months? I don't sell comics but guessing this may offend the sensibilities of a WP snob like Herr Storms https://www.cgccomics.com/certlookup/0000043015/
  3. Not the first time across the board prices have dropped and won't be the last. On Blue Chips or true keys the effect is usually tempered. Except for stuff I may not see again in condition i seek, I've avoided buying since the latest bubble started to grow large. Now that it's receding there are items I will be going after. Expect the effect of a bubble burst/correction to impact lower grades of books of which High Grades Populations are large the most. Example in the coming year I see ASM361 and Secret Wars 8 in 9.6 and lower "sink like a stone that's been thrown in the ocean". ASM 300 Direct Sale in 9.4 (or 9.2 and lower) will become very very frosty. Spawn 1 with 8,109 copies in 9.8 or HIGHER copies will be crashing down even in 9.8 . Many other books fit this bill, be especially wary of 1990-1993 glut era stuff. My opinion the higher the population in 9.6 and above the more values will drop and drop (outliers and hot book de jour not withstanding). In effect what the market was from CGC inception until the past few years. All depends on how many dump their non loner shiny stuff and exit the hobby (hobby to us - for them merely potential quick bucks via flips)
  4. Due to lack of supply, a reasonable guess is any 9.9 and 10.0 of any semi in demand book will always be a market outlier. BTW while I personally prefer old school slabs based on my experience many do not. Thus the newer slab with the gold 9.9 might have had folks more willing to go after it? The real indicator of market is to see how much books like that have already dropped in 9.8,9.6,9,4,9.2
  5. I really like this sequence. I recall reading this was the first time the Golden Age/Earth II Superman was drawn to show he was older than Earth I Supes
  6. No one has ever drawn "Wonder Girl" nicer than George IMHO
  7. That is great advice!. Speculators eventually take heavy losses on high pop stuff. The one's who really know what they are doing of course exit before the bottom falls out. Expect not just these but many books with large high grade populations to go lower as band-wagon jumpers sustain losses then exit the hobby until the next boom. Supply will remain plentiful but demand will take a drop. It's also happening with Sports Cards. Those who still have high dollars tied up with these books, I'm sure will have some Venom (pun intended) to spit. But the irrational market is ending and basic economic pillar of supply and demand as it always does will reign. P.S. Excluding outliers of course they will always exist and hot-books de jour.
  8. Great Post! Are those old NY Pic's online? Marine Parkway Bridge now named after Baseball Hall of Fame inductee Gil Hodges
  9. I noticed in 2019, 2020, and until Summer 2021 CL was getting larger hammer prices for high population hot books than on eBay. Now it seem they are getting less. Makes me think some have left CL due to perceived higher prices?
  10. Folks this is not just 'seasonal" these are the type of high % drop-offs that show a correction is in progress. The more bandwagon jumpers see value of their holdings dwindle, the more they will sell and exit the hobby until the next boom. Good riddance IMHO I don't sell comics so I've no skin in that game but attributing the data to being purely seasonal is denial. BTW the same thing is also occurring in Trading Cards.. Yeah prices are higher than last year and will likley not fall back to those levels, but that may be a book/case by book/case basis?
  11. In my opinion the most difficult thing to discern from pics are the high grades. As a result I will never state 9.8. I think you have definite 9.4 and 9.6 is highly plausible. The light spine-roll may impact you? But I've seen grades not being affected on similar books. Pressing may help insure the 9.6 (again i wont state 9.8 ever from pics) but not sure it's worth the added expense as demand is now low for this book even in 9.8.
  12. I think the ownership has legal entanglements plus its a forgotten property of a cheap jack Evil Knievel ripoff. That said I did like the book a lot having found a near complete run in the quarters bins as kid in the mid 80's. There was a rumored potential low-budget movie a few years back. Not sure how easy it is to find investors who want to lose money A bunch of Fly 1's in CGC 9.8 appeared on eBay from Feb-May 2020. It was approx 1 per week from same seller. The prices varied widely and for a while dropped each week but bounced near the end. Shows that a 1970's #1 issue from Marvel in 9.8 will always have at least some demand. Anyhow I will say a borderline 9.0. If raw then I'd say better to advertise as 8.5 and have a happy customer than state a 9.0 and have one who will thinks your standards are very lenient.
  13. Another Marvel and another DC favorite of mine which are "less common" and IMHO under-rated covers. The Back Cover of the Supergirl Digest is outstanding as well.
  14. You are apparently lucky. I have an early April sub, marked received June 14, Sitting in G/E/I since Sept 17 with no end on the horizon.
  15. Apologies for being blunt but that is practically meaningless. Condition is king and the books you referenced have very high populations. Take the advice of the post above this one and don't quit your day job just yet
  16. Broke 2 long standing rules of mine recently. 1) Never buy from HA - self imposed ban since 2012 2) Don't buy the label buy the book As a small child in the early 1980's a friend of my Mom's gave me some books one day that were her son's. He was a teen and was no longer into comics. The two books in that lot which I recall most were "Adventures into Fear" #16 and "Super Cops" #1. I found out about the Super Cops just prior to the auction ending. Figured I'd give it a go as who knows when another would pop up again. It's 1/1 in 9.8 and the red background in my opinion is just about as condition sensitive as a black cover. Additionally Red is a color highly subject to fading. The Reds on this one are deep and rich and the scan really does not show how great it looks. Luckily for me this book would have passed my personal "buy the book" evaluation. Boy this one brings back memories and at least to me "screams 1970's"
  17. Still as "hot" books go when compared to Marvel, DC = Dead Comics
  18. Marvel: DC - thought I would post a favorite that is not as commonly seen
  19. IIRC the Barcodes were distributed to Bookstores and large music chains like Tower Records. I also seem to recall, but could be wrong, that the bar-coded copies are NOT the first printings. From my experiences over the years collecting Lestat is that I've seen them in approx equal numbers. However I'm sure some folks will want to believe the UPC copies are more rare for fi$cal reasons. P.S. I do not sell comics but has become annoying that my Interview's have been sitting in Sarasota since April, unboxed in June :grumble
  20. The Batman's Penguin-centric HBO Max spinoff series starring Colin Farrell has been confirmed. The first ever published Origin of The Penguin was in Best of DC #10 from Dec 1980 (cover dated March 1981). It's a very difficult book to find in high-grade that should be a minor Copper Age Key but alas will never be. Reasons why the book will never be hot on eBay (or anywhere else) despite today's Penguin announcement. 1) It's a DC not a Marvel 2) It's a DC not a Marvel 3) It's a DC not a Marvel 4) CGC Census population is very low. Hot books must have enough high-graded copies so that there are always 6-10 on eBay at any given time. In additional most dealers must have a large stock of the book in 9.6 and 9.8. It's pretty much impossible to manipulate the market when the book is very difficult to find in high grade. 5) Did I mention It's a DC not a Marvel ? A DC character can get a new TV show with a somewhat "famous" talent as the lead and the characters books will go almost nowhere. However all it takes is the slightest false rumor of some only seen once Marvel Character potentially receiving a mere off-the-cuff mention in a Marvel film or TV series and the book will spike to near 1K. Example; Marvel Team-Up 131 "White Rabbit" Yeah I do own the above slab as I'm a rather big collector of small digests, but I really just wanted to rant again about how DC books never and will "go nuclear". Tiny bumps at best for DC, outliers are nearly but not quite nonexistent.
  21. At the last Con I attending a dealer had 2 CGC books from the same series that interested me so placed them in my "take" pile. When it came time for me to evaluate (aka "buy the book, not the label") my selections I found those 2 had various degrees of Newton's Rings. One I decided to purchase, the other the rings interfered with the beauty of the book too much. If the dealer had offered a discount in the amount it would take to ship and re-holder I might have gone for it. Given the asking price was $100 (and I was already getting a discount for my multiple purchases) offering a full re-holdering discount would not have been a smart choice on the dealers part.
  22. New 52 was the catalyst for my reducing my new comic purchases to first less in a year than I had been purchasing in a month, then later a week, then eventually near zero. I had been losing interest for many years but continued to pick up new books out of habit or "muscle memory". After seeing the collective smug hubris displayed by Didio/Johns/Lee mainly geared at boasting their 2011 bonus from Time-Warner (New 52 began Sept 1 - right in time so it would be fresh for bonus season - those who work in large corporations know this...) I decided that was my exit point. Marvel too did annoy me in the 90's with the renumbering, then renumbering after renumbering, but I hung on although with diminished Marvel purchases. Had it not been for New 52 I would have collected new books another 9 years until July 2020 when my LCS, owned by a good friend, closed it's doors. Although New 52 for example spiked sales in the scheme of things it was short-lived and ultimately cost far more buyers that they will ever get back. Of course as mentioned it was primary a short-term bonus cash grab not expected to be anything more than a spike. While those optimistic like to think there are new readers to replace lost readers, there are not. If DC and Marvel had been concerned with maintaining existing buyers, new books sales would have tapered off a lot slower. Instead they catered to the few new incoming readers whilst hemorrhaging sales year to year. Pretty much now Marvel and DC's only purposes for putting out new books is grist for Video endeavors. What happens when the genre declines in Film, TV etc? P.S. I will say the few newer books I've read are great if one is in a hurry. Anyone with 5th grade reading skills can polish one off about a minute or 2 due to lack of dialog and preponderance of splashes and double page spreads. There was always some dreck put out each month, but at least in modern times you don't have to waste 8-12 minutes to get through a single book
  23. https://thecw.fandom.com/wiki/Season_2_(Superman_%26_Lois) Only first 7 are so far titled and presumably shot. The order though is for 13 - still short of the 20-22 I expected it would receive.