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Black Panther official movie thread (11/3/17)
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At $578 million domestic as of yesterday, Black Panther has now passed Batman (1989) on the inflation-adjusted list.

(Batman made $251 million total domestically 29 years ago).

That was my marker, since 1989 was the summer of Batman, and instrumental in getting me --and many others -- into comics.

Wow.

 

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36 minutes ago, paperheart said:

BP buries Tomb Raider (these write themselves):

From Deadline:

‘Black Panther’ Still Boss At The B.O. Running Toward $600M+; ‘Tomb Raider’ At $22M-$24M – Midday Update

"BP buries Tomb Raider"

:roflmao:

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31 minutes ago, Gatsby77 said:

At $578 million domestic as of yesterday, Black Panther has now passed Batman (1989) on the inflation-adjusted list.

(Batman made $251 million total domestically 29 years ago).

That was my marker, since 1989 was the summer of Batman, and instrumental in getting me --and many others -- into comics.

Wow.

Yup. Very impressive. Especially when you consider $251M domestic in 1989 is now $504.4M in 2018. It would sound like a rare movie that would top this at any time. And at least comparing domestic markets then and now, that's a little easier to do than international box office.

Although if you look at screen distribution counts from 1989 to 2017, there is a significant count difference.

xi5L3WY.jpg

Edited by Bosco685
domestic screen count details
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54 minutes ago, paperheart said:

still waiting for the fake Twitter news BO impact :roflmao:

#14 after this weekend, 100 spots ahead of this waste of $400MM

114 Justice League WB $657.9 $229.0 34.8% $428.9 65.2% 2017
16 Black Panther BV $1,126.5 $578.4 51.3% $548.1 48.7%

2018

lol

Itsy bitsy teenie weenie...yellow polka dot bikini.

 

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11 hours ago, Bosco685 said:

Yup. Very impressive. Especially when you consider $251M domestic in 1989 is now $504.4M in 2018. It would sound like a rare movie that would top this at any time. And at least comparing domestic markets then and now, that's a little easier to do than international box office.

Although if you look at screen distribution counts from 1989 to 2017, there is a significant count difference.

xi5L3WY.jpg

This is a good chart, but the growth in screens from ~23,000 in 1989 to ~40,000 in 2018 is more than balanced out by the increase in the number of movies released annually.

Just ~250 per year in 1989 vs. 700+ now.

That increase in both movie studios and new film releases should make a single film's domination that much harder -- even if we ignore increased competition from streaming channels that mean folks go out to the movies less.

 

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1 hour ago, Gatsby77 said:

This is a good chart, but the growth in screens from ~23,000 in 1989 to ~40,000 in 2018 is more than balanced out by the increase in the number of movies released annually.

Just ~250 per year in 1989 vs. 700+ now.

That increase in both movie studios and new film releases should make a single film's domination that much harder -- even if we ignore increased competition from streaming channels that mean folks go out to the movies less.

Not sure I 100% agree with less screens then = more distributed movies now. But I do agree, there is more competition in each genre of movie. Studios are still able to lock down a large grouping of theaters nonetheless. And let's remember, theaters today also offer IMAX, IMAX 3-D, 3-D and D-Box. So much higher ticket prices compared to the standard theaters of the 80's.

- Batman (1989): 2,194 domestic theaters.

- Black Panther: 4020 domestic theaters  (3,200 of those in 3D, 404 in IMAX, over 660 in premium large format, and over 200 D-Box locations): Disregarding all the different formats, + 1,826 theaters over Batman.

- Thor: Ragnarok: 4080 domestic theaters (3,400 were 3-D theaters, 381 were IMAX/IMAX 3D, 204 were D-Box): Disregarding all the different formats, + 1,886 theaters over Batman.

- Guardians of the Galaxy 2: 4,347 theaters (over 3,800 were in 3D, 388 in IMAX/IMAX 3D, 588 premium large-format, and 194 D-Box locations): Disregarding all the different formats, + 2,153 theaters over Batman.

 

 

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On the bright side we have Black Panther which is performing like a summer tentpole during the first quarter of the year, set to hit $607.4M this Sunday, and what many ultimately believe will be an end game of $650M stateside, $1.25 billion worldwide and now per our film finance sources will churn a total estimated profit of $461M after all ancillaries (ironically, a total that’s close to what some analysts believe Disney CEO Bob Iger could earn over four years if he hits all his performance goals in his compensation package).

That’s a sizeable chunk of change, one that’s higher than the profits of Avengers: Age of Ultron $382.3M and Captain America: Civil War‘s $193.4M, and we’re informed a lot of that has to do with the fresh face cast of Black Panther. There’s not a lot of heavy participations impacting Black Panther‘s bottom line in the Robert Downey Jr. or Joss Whedon Avengers sense, nor is it at the level of a Fast & Furious cast where its top players reportedly earn $0.40 of every $1 of profit after breakeven.  Note Disney did not generate these Black Panther profit estimates for us. 

Half a billion in profit (worship)   Oh, and those end game numbers  are too low.  After a $29MM weekend, this thing is going to do a hell of a lot more than an additional $43MM US.  Won't beat but will threaten Pacific Rim next weekend.

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16 minutes ago, paperheart said:

On the bright side we have Black Panther which is performing like a summer tentpole during the first quarter of the year, set to hit $607.4M this Sunday, and what many ultimately believe will be an end game of $650M stateside, $1.25 billion worldwide and now per our film finance sources will churn a total estimated profit of $461M after all ancillaries (ironically, a total that’s close to what some analysts believe Disney CEO Bob Iger could earn over four years if he hits all his performance goals in his compensation package).

That’s a sizeable chunk of change, one that’s higher than the profits of Avengers: Age of Ultron $382.3M and Captain America: Civil War‘s $193.4M, and we’re informed a lot of that has to do with the fresh face cast of Black Panther. There’s not a lot of heavy participations impacting Black Panther‘s bottom line in the Robert Downey Jr. or Joss Whedon Avengers sense, nor is it at the level of a Fast & Furious cast where its top players reportedly earn $0.40 of every $1 of profit after breakeven.  Note Disney did not generate these Black Panther profit estimates for us. 

Half a billion in profit (worship)   Oh, and those end game numbers  are too low.  After a $29MM weekend, this thing is going to do a hell of a lot more than an additional $43MM US.  Won't beat but will threaten Pacific Rim next weekend.

DEADLINE: ‘Black Panther’ Poised For $460M+ In Profit; ‘I Can Only Imagine’ Surprises – Box Office Update

Gotta give credit where credit is due.

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1 hour ago, Bosco685 said:

Not sure I 100% agree with less screens then = more distributed movies now. But I do agree, there is more competition in each genre of movie. Studios are still able to lock down a large grouping of theaters nonetheless. And let's remember, theaters today also offer IMAX, IMAX 3-D, 3-D and D-Box. So much higher ticket prices compared to the standard theaters of the 80's.

- Batman (1989): 2,194 domestic theaters.

- Black Panther: 4020 domestic theaters  (3,200 of those in 3D, 404 in IMAX, over 660 in premium large format, and over 200 D-Box locations): Disregarding all the different formats, + 1,826 theaters over Batman.

- Thor: Ragnarok: 4080 domestic theaters (3,400 were 3-D theaters, 381 were IMAX/IMAX 3D, 204 were D-Box): Disregarding all the different formats, + 1,886 theaters over Batman.

- Guardians of the Galaxy 2: 4,347 theaters (over 3,800 were in 3D, 388 in IMAX/IMAX 3D, 588 premium large-format, and 194 D-Box locations): Disregarding all the different formats, + 2,153 theaters over Batman.

 

 

Granted, but my point means that every movie today faces far more competition just based on the sheer number of releases.

Perfect example of this was the total domination of Beverly Hills Cop back in 1984-1985.

Beverly Hills Cop topped out at just over 2,000 screens -- but was a ridiculous hit for other reasons -- including that fewer movies released per year = less competition.

It debuted in early December, and went on to be the # 1 movie in America for 13 straight weekends. As in, it was # 1 at the U.S. box office from Dec. 7, 1984 through March 3, 1985.

It was also Rated R.

It only dropped out of the top 10 in mid-June, its 29th week of release.

That would _never_ happen today -- incredibly more screens be damned.

Why?

Because there are far more movies being released than there were 30 years ago.

Most films are lucky to stay in theaters for 13 weeks, let alone rank at # 1 for 13 weeks of a six month+ run.

And yeah -- at just $616.5 million domestic in adjusted terms, Black Panther will likely beat Beverly Hills Cop at the box office -- selling more tickets.

But even so, it's hard to argue that Black Panther is as dominant culturally or as much of a cinematic phenomenon in 2018 as Beverly Hills Cop was in 1984-85.

Edited by Gatsby77
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1 minute ago, Gatsby77 said:

Granted, but my point means that every movie today faces far more competition just based on the sheer number of releases.

Perfect example of this was the total domination of Beverly Hills Cop back in 1984-1985.

Beverly Hills Cop topped out at just over 2,000 screens -- but was a ridiculous hit for other reasons -- including that fewer movies released per year = less competition.

It debuted in early December, and went on to be the # 1 movie in America for 13 straight weekends. As in, it was # 1 at the U.S. box office from Dec. 7, 1984 through March 3, 1985.

It only dropped out of the top 10 in mid-June, its 29th week of release.

That would _never_ happen today -- incredibly more screens be damned.

Why?

Because there are far more movies being released than there were 30 years ago.

Most films are lucky to stay in theaters for 13 weeks, let alone rank at # 1 for 13 weeks of a six month+ run.

And yeah -- at just $616.5 million domestic in adjusted terms, Black Panther will likely beat Beverly Hills Cop at the box office -- selling more tickets.

But even so, it's hard to argue that Black Panther is as dominant culturally or as much of a cinematic phenomenon in 2018 as Beverly Hills Cop was in 1984-85.

Black Panther is definitely something that is hitting all the right marks when it comes to solid story, great casting and relevant themes making for a massive hit. No questions there.

But you just can't compare to movies from over 20 years ago, and write it off as they had it easier back then because there are so many movies nowadays. Each have their own challenges to overcome.

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I had noticed Mendleson had mentioned it first. But wanted to see if it was him being overly sensitive again to Marvel movies overseas, or if it was a reality.

Edited by Bosco685
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