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MasterChief

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Posts posted by MasterChief

  1. On 3/21/2024 at 5:14 AM, Mdesimone said:
    On 3/21/2024 at 4:17 AM, agamoto said:

    Who is telling you to go to court yourself against the guy? The dude victimized possibly hundreds of primary victims and who knows how many other secondary victims who may have purchased his bad books from those victims.

    The onus is on you as the victim here to file reports with local and federal authorities, the purpose of which isn't to prove or disprove anything or to initiate any lawsuit or claim in court, but to have the case kicked up to where it belongs, in the domain of the FBI/FTC where it will be investigated as a criminal matter, and that investigation would certainly include CGC's cooperation in revealing all of that information that you don't have to investigators, whether CGC wants to or not.   

    You work for the NYPD, you're the victim of interstate wire fraud and you didn't hear any alarm bells go off in your head when CGC casually forgot to mention you should report the crime against you?

    Everything you mention here is PRECISELY why the FTC should be investigating. Not just all the incidences of fraud itself, but also CGC's unwitting role in allowing the fraud to occur in the first place as well as their poor response to it. 

    Again you need proof to file criminal charges against some for fraud. If I do that on my own those scammers would sue me for defamation if I lose, why waste my time when cgc will do it for me.  

    It appears as though you have not read any of the posts in this thread about filing a fraud complaint with the FTC.

  2. On 3/9/2024 at 5:05 PM, tth2 said:
    On 3/8/2024 at 1:52 PM, MasterChief said:

    “books that haven’t seen the light of day since they were purchased off newsstands in the 1940s”
    (This statement is laughable if not insulting to the collector who viewed Heritage scans with an objective eye. And that’s not to mention the purported account that the books were actually bagged and boarded in ~2001 after the brother’s death)

    I interpret "haven't seen the light of day since" to mean they haven't come to market, not literally that they haven't seen the light of day.  So I don't think the fact that the books were bagged and boarded in recent decades makes the sentence false.

    And if the bagging and boarding was done in a basement with no windows, then they truly have not seen the light of day! (: 

    Understood, counselor. I got lazy with my argument. I should have fleshed out the first part of the comment and called attention to the fact that many of the books, especially those from the early 40s, exhibited clear indications of post-newsstand reading, handling, and being played around with by yutes before being boxed up and placed in storage for safe keeping after Junie was killed in action in 1951.  :tonofbricks:

  3. On 3/8/2024 at 10:38 AM, buttock said:

    I'm trying to phrase this politely because I'm not wanting to be antagonistic.  But I'm not sure what the alternative would have been to promoting the collection.  And the particular phrases you highlighted are all very accurate, and to a degree understated.  I think en toto the collection broke $25M, so estimating it at 40% seems like the opposite of hype. 

    Thanks for the response. We may have to agree to disagree as to the added emphasis above. That said, a few comments to the pre-marketing and follow-on-post-initial-auction phrase claims clipped from the web:

    “An amazing story of how a brother’s promise to protect a fallen veteran’s treasure trove of Golden Age Comics could be worth $10 million decades later”
    (This is a Heritage pre-auction estimate. So, yes, the ultimate realization was astounding. But the “story” falls flat. Without story validation and provenance verification, it's just that. A story, a hobby fairy tale. No sense in re-discussing the alleged truth behind it again. That will only result in another thread derailment.)

    “A collection of Golden Age comic books in pristine condition”
    (Pristine? Perhaps for many books but certainly not all, as the statement implies. Pristine is defined as “clean and fresh as if new; spotless.” Many examples have been posted on these boards and elsewhere that are the exact opposite of pristine. And that’s not to mention the fact that maximization took place for targets of opportunity during certification.)

    “it’s “the highest-quality pedigree collection, book for book, to debut in our hobby in the last 25 years”
    (No comment. I’ll let the pedigree experts debate the merit of this statement against all pedigrees of the time frame referred to regardless of category age)

    “books that haven’t seen the light of day since they were purchased off newsstands in the 1940s”
    (This statement is laughable if not insulting to the collector who viewed Heritage scans with an objective eye. And that’s not to mention the purported account that the books were actually bagged and boarded in ~2001 after the brother’s death)

    “The collection’s depth and scope is almost unparalleled”
    (I’ll let those that debate such things argue the merit of that claim)

    “Put simply, The Promise Collection will go down in history as one of the greatest comic-book finds of all time”
    (Agreed)

  4. On 3/8/2024 at 6:46 AM, DC# said:

    Please be gentle with me.....I am not a hard-core GA collector and have only had a passing interest in the Promise Collection (and only read the last half dozen pages of this thread).     I have never seen a robust recap of the GA market overall but there are some where people have been tracking Silver, Bronze, and Copper (Silver attached below for reference).   Most of these indexes show that the Mid-to-late 2021 window was the peak and all those markets are off those peaks by roughly 50%.    The original Promise Collection auctions hit right during that peak window.    

    Is the belief that the decline in Promise books is outside/above any normal declines in GA overall market?    I appreciate that there are some very brutal numbers in that recap for some books - so the aggregate view may mask the challenge of many specific Promise books.    And also appreciate that GA may be harder to "index" for multiple reasons.   

    Just curious - especially with the polarizing effect that the Promise Collection seemed to engender among some collectors.

    The collection of data began as an idea to look under the hood of Promise Collection initial sales and subsequent short-term liquidations to get an appreciation of how pre-marketing and follow-on post initial auction advertising hype, delivered by Heritage, CGC, independent media, and social media may have led to and drove the FOMO phenomenon and irrational exuberance. It was not meant to be a barometer of the GA market. With regard to FOMO, there were many discussions and analogies made here on these boards (and elsewhere) comparing the Church Collection to the Promise Collection while underscoring how collectors missed out on a windfall of gains if they were unwilling to pay Rozanski’s Church prices at the time. Thus the apparent “pump” was not to miss the boat with buying a piece, or many pieces as some seemingly did, of the Promise Collection. Not saying that kind of talk led to the FOMO phenomenon in totality or captivated any one individual in particular, but when coupled with catchy and enticing sales and marketing phrases such as those that follow, which are only a very few used to promote the collection, it may be hard to say that collectively they didn’t have an effect:

    “An amazing story of how a brother’s promise to protect a fallen veteran’s treasure trove of Golden Age Comics could be worth $10 million decades later”

    “A collection of Golden Age comic books in pristine condition”

    “it’s “the highest-quality pedigree collection, book for book, to debut in our hobby in the last 25 years”

    “books that haven’t seen the light of day since they were purchased off newsstands in the 1940s”

    “The collection’s depth and scope is almost unparalleled”

    “Put simply, The Promise Collection will go down in history as one of the greatest comic-book finds of all time”

    *****

    By the way...
    For those interested in such things:

    Promise Collection ROI Update! Links:

    (1)    Posted September 17, 2022
    https://boards.cgccomics.com/topic/492270-post-your-promise-collection-wins/?do=findComment&comment=12514240

    (2)    Posted November 19, 2022
    https://boards.cgccomics.com/topic/492270-post-your-promise-collection-wins/?do=findComment&comment=12591086

    (3)    Posted December 18, 2022
    https://boards.cgccomics.com/topic/492270-post-your-promise-collection-wins/?do=findComment&comment=12625080

    (4)    Posted February 22, 2023
    https://boards.cgccomics.com/topic/492270-post-your-promise-collection-wins/?do=findComment&comment=12703032

    (5)    Posted April 6, 2023
    https://boards.cgccomics.com/topic/492270-post-your-promise-collection-wins/?do=findComment&comment=12757403

    (6)    Posted March 30, 2023
    https://boards.cgccomics.com/topic/492270-post-your-promise-collection-wins/?do=findComment&comment=12749631

    (7)    Posted September 14, 2023
    https://boards.cgccomics.com/topic/492270-post-your-promise-collection-wins/?do=findComment&comment=12935859

    (8)    Posted June 22, 2023
    https://boards.cgccomics.com/topic/492270-post-your-promise-collection-wins/?do=findComment&comment=12839455

    (9)    Posted December 1, 2023
    https://boards.cgccomics.com/topic/492270-post-your-promise-collection-wins/?do=findComment&comment=13011367

    (10) Posted March 4, 2023
    https://boards.cgccomics.com/topic/492270-post-your-promise-collection-wins/?do=findComment&comment=13116851

  5. On 3/7/2024 at 4:40 AM, jimbo_7071 said:

    A fool and his money are soon parted, to be sure. I overpaid badly for both of my high-grade Promise books, but that's not a big deal to me because I overpay badly for non-pedigree books all the time.

    I’m in the same boat, but I don’t consider myself as being “ripped off” as that implies I and others were cheated by Heritage. If it can be proven that we were bidding against N.P. Gresham during the many Promise Collection auctions that went down, then yeah, we that won were ripped off. But I doubt that’s the case here. What the ROI data suggests, however, is that many bidders, including myself, played into marketing hype and the irrational exuberance that followed, thus apparent subjects of the Greater Fool Theory, at least in the short-term.

    For those unfamiliar with the Greater Fool Theory, there’s much about it on the web. Here’s just one piece that discusses it (read with the Promise Collection in mind):

    The Greater Fool Theory: The Root Cause Of Market Bubbles?
    Written byKarl Montevirgen
    Fact-checked byDoug Ashburn
    https://www.britannica.com/money/what-is-greater-fool-theory

    Suppose a stock that’s been hyped on social media goes viral, infecting the social trading space with a severe case of FOMO (fear of missing out). Now, everyone’s talking about it, and soon people begin buying in droves, clogging up the digital order flow space with a frenzied folly of bids.

    The stock is already up over 100% from its lows, and by your own estimates, that’s way overvalued—disconnected from its fundamental worth. Yet its price keeps advancing. Do you pass it up, wait for the price to pull back a bit, or do you pull the trigger and buy some shares?

    The overblown narrative lifting the stock has proven compelling enough to take prices this far, so why not aim higher? And surely, somewhere in the stratosphere of lofty values, there’s likely to be someone who’s willing to pay an even more exorbitant price down the road, right?

    That’s the basis of the greater fool theory. As a trading strategy, it’s an extreme (if not cynical, and most definitely risky) version of a key component of technical analysis—trading on momentum. But as any veteran momentum trader will tell you, when a momentum trade turns into a “bubble trade,” it can go from lucrative to dangerous at a moment’s notice.

    Why would someone risk buying a fundamentally unsound investment?

    Betting on a “greater fool” outcome seems risky, almost like a gamble. After all, it’s about investing in a bubbling asset or assets in a bubbling market. So, why not just avoid it? Well, it’s not that clear-cut or simple. Not all bubbles are the same. As we’ll see, some are hard to identify and difficult to avoid.

    What is a speculative bubble?

    A speculative bubble is a situation where the price of an asset rises above its fundamental value because of excessive speculation. In a speculative bubble scenario, investors are willing to pay higher prices for an asset whose real value may be much less. This can apply to single assets or to a group of assets within a broader industry, sector, or market.

    So, what drives excessive speculation? It depends on the type of bubble.

    Short-term bubbles

    More often than not, short-term bubbles are driven by some form of hype. It might be a news report, a celebrity announcement, a social media post gone viral, or any kind of communication that can persuade a large number of people to buy an asset.

    When assets experience this type of bubble, their prices are bid up rapidly—fueled not by fundamental value, but rather by narrative.

    Long-term bubbles

    Long-term bubbles are tricker to detect, as they form gradually and move slowly. These bubbles can last for years, especially if they’re supported by low interest rates (low borrowing costs), which can increase the demand for riskier assets. Typically, this helps boost jobs, wages, wealth perception, and consumer demand. When broad demand outpaces supply, prices tend to inflate, and this includes financial assets.

    In a booming economy on the verge of “overheating,” it’s often difficult to tell whether asset prices (like stocks and real estate) are rising thanks to increased value or just plain speculative demand, also known as “irrational exuberance.”

    Bubbles of a third kind (no fundamentals)

    As an investor (and not a florist), how do you evaluate the financial fundamentals of a tulip bulb? It might sound like an odd question, because tulips aren’t traditional financial instruments. They don’t have the durability common to most collectibles, and they’re not consumable or functional like commodities such as food and gasoline. Yet, they’re infamous for being the focal point of Tulip Mania, one of the most outrageous speculative bubbles in history.

    More recently, the cryptocurrency space has shown a similar phenomenon, this time with digital financial assets. Unlike tulips, cryptocurrencies were designed either to provide alternative monetary value or to facilitate financial processes. The problem is that there’s no standardized way to measure crypto fundamentals. The industry is still in its infancy. So it’s almost like having no fundamentals at all, because there’s no surefire way to measure them.

    Yet, mass crypto speculation caught on like wildfire, bubbling and bursting in 2017 and 2021, with many “greater fools” taking deep losses.

    Should you attempt a greater fool strategy?

    Should you avoid overvalued assets, or might you consider betting on a greater fool to help you cash in?

    Exploiting a short-term bubble can be ultra-risky. Short-term bubbles can burst in a matter of days, hours, or even minutes. This type of speculation is more of a trade than an investment. Whether you can pull it off really depends on your trading experience, whether you’re able to “babysit” your trades each day, and—let’s be honest—whether you’re feeling lucky.

    In other words, you should either be a trading pro, or you should be playing with money you can afford to lose.

    But if you’re dealing with a long-term bubble—one that could go on for years—then you face a dilemma. You can either risk time in the market (investing despite a potential bubble) or timing the market (waiting for it to burst, if it is indeed a bubble).

    This is where your portfolio management principles and skills come into play. If you’re investing for the long term and using sound risk management principles, then the greater fool theory may not be so relevant to your far-horizon strategy or goals.

    The bottom line

    It seems there are always greater fools in the market willing to pay high prices for assets on the verge of correction or collapse. The problem is that it’s hard to know how many are out there, whether their numbers are dwindling, and whether the few that are left are wising up.

    Sometimes the “greater fool” is a matter of perspective that has more to do with your approach to trading versus investing. If you’re investing with the assumption that a greater fool might be out there, just remember that it could be you.

  6. On 1/29/2024 at 8:30 AM, awe4one said:

    Forgive me for asking but I don’t have time to read through 377 pages. What exactly happened here? Did a person break out a slab and replace a comic before resealing a slab or did someone have a replacement slab and placed a comic in it with the label? I know whenever I broke out a comic from a slab you would know it. I know this topic has probably evolved from the first post so I don’t want to distract from the discussion. If you can message me with an explanation it would be appreciated.

    Jim

    Hey, Jim

    This is one of the best posts in the thread. Especially for those late to the party. Kinda a reader's digest version...

     

     

     

  7. On 1/6/2024 at 8:13 AM, pdags said:

    It's uncanny...   The only notable difference is the back, top staple.  Assuming he colored touched it, a few discrepancies may be real.

    In addition to selling undisclosed restoration, Dupcak manipulated the photos he used for eBay auctions. This was proven by Red Hook back in the day. RH was well versed in Photoshop (taught graphics creation using PS, IIRC) and identified the below book as being Dupcak’s work.
     

    DD-Avengers-16_comparison_1x1.gif.58ce44df4dfd0c2d0dc0980ab5638fc2.gifDD-Avengers-16_comparison_1x2.gif.f44555e0c355f4b104665570d458ed8a.gif

     

  8. On 1/6/2024 at 7:59 AM, pdags said:

    **** Can someone verify ****

    kellysuperhoroes Fantastic Four looks a lot like Briva3's Fantastic Four 4...

    https://www.ebay.com/itm/186238407258

    https://www.ebay.com/itm/285549202720

    Yes, those two books appear to be the same when comparing both front and back covers.

    And the first copy, sold by kellyssuperheroeskellys, is listed with "slight c.t."

  9. On 1/6/2024 at 7:47 AM, mr_highgrade said:

    Check out his auction below. First look at the angle of the photo and notice there's no photo of the back cover. (shrug) Then look at "Item Specifics" all the way on the bottom left under "modified" Slight c.t. :eek:

    https://www.ebay.com/itm/315075164540?hash=item495bf1797c:g:MoUAAOSwnfNjUupG

    cantcolor.jpg.9ad3629cecd51bfadf5588a397c8923e.jpg